Bilag 1. Finanseffekter

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Tabel B1a. Effekt på beskæftigelse (1000 personer)
    Jun14 Okt14 Okt15 Okt16 Jul17 Jul17x Okt18 Jun19 Okt20 Apr23
Varekøb fVo1 1.325 1.124 1.140 1.185 1.253 1.226 1.370 1.463 1.513 1.586
Off. besk. Qo1 4.656 4.882 4.877 5.433 5.503 5.454 5.596 5.794 6.090 6.712
Off. lønninger lo 0.194 0.195 0.218 0.257 0.116 0.178 0.177 0.239 0.331 0.407
Bygge- og anlægsinvest fIbo 1.574 1.376 1.440 1.466 1.652 1.652 1.646 1.591 1.725 1.722
Øvrige investeringer fImo 0.706 0.750 0.805 0.918 0.920 0.920 1.016 1.078 1.200 1.280
Arbejdsmarkedsbidrag Sya 0.295 0.247 0.276 0.322 0.327 0.317 0.344 0.363 0.523 0.633
Indkomstskat Ssysp 0.350 0.301 0.340 0.391 0.401 0.388 0.427 0.446 0.637 0.800
Vægtafgift Syv 0.859 0.663 0.686 0.833 0.860 0.846 0.964 0.577 0.787 0.891
Selskabsskat Syc 0.037 0.017 0.032 0.016 0.021 0.015 0.151 0.152 0.224 0.240
Kulbrinteskat Tirk -0.004 -0.004 -0.002 -0.004 0.001 -0.004 0.109 0.113 0.174 0.215
Pensionsafkastskat Sywp 0.034 0.028 0.035 0.089 0.098 0.087 0.113 0.114 0.169 0.240
Off.ydelse Tyrrs 0.222 0.192 0.217 0.240 0.246 0.237 0.257 0.260 0.370 0.455
Off. ydelse, skattefri Tyrrr 0.379 0.326 0.368 0.407 0.417 0.404 0.443 0.453 0.647 0.812
Moms Spg 0.392 0.367 0.416 0.379 0.427 0.459 0.497 0.468 0.692 0.754
Energiafgift Spp_ce 0.222 0.212 0.219 0.333 0.376 0.364 0.390 0.441 0.712 0.798
Fødevareafgift Spp_cf 0.278 0.262 0.239 0.327 0.335 0.325 0.386 0.379 0.634 0.764
Benzinafgift Spp_cg 0.512 0.405 0.381 0.497 0.518 0.511 0.597 0.644 0.832 0.915
Subsidier Sppu 0.636 0.575 0.557 0.644 0.680 0.662 0.731 0.744 0.966 1.144
Ejendomsskat Spzej 0.281 0.274 0.370 0.233 0.244 0.235 0.492 0.504 0.639 1.031
Subsidier, ikke-varefordelt Spzuqr 0.862 0.668 0.564 0.512 0.545 0.563 0.856 0.897 0.216 0.279
Registreringsafgift Spr 0.618 0.543 0.526 0.440 0.477 0.475 0.650 0.599 0.816 1.284

 

Tabel B1b. Effekt på timeløn (procent)

    Jun14 Okt14 Okt15 Okt16 Jul17 Jul17x Okt18 Jun19 Okt20 Apr23
Varekøb fVo1 0.018 0.014 0.012 0.012 0.012 0.012 0.014 0.014 0.014 0.015
Off. besk. Qo1 0.063 0.062 0.052 0.055 0.052 0.053 0.054 0.054 0.055 0.069
Off. lønninger lo 0.006 0.007 0.007 0.008 0.010 0.006 0.006 0.005 0.005 0.006
Bygge- og anlægsinvest fIbo 0.021 0.018 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.016 0.017
Øvrige investeringer fImo 0.011 0.009 0.008 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.012 0.012 0.015
Arbejdsmarkedsbidrag Sya 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.005 0.006
Indkomstskat Ssysp 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.006 0.008
Vægtafgift Syv 0.012 0.009 0.008 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.006 0.008 0.009
Selskabsskat Syc 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002
Kulbrinteskat Tirk 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002
Pensionsafkastskat Sywp 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002
Off.ydelse Tyrrs 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.003 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.005
Off. ydelse, skattefri Tyrrr 0.005 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.006 0.008
Moms Spg 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 -0.001 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.003 0.004
Energiafgift Spp_ce 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.007 0.008
Fødevareafgift Spp_cf 0.004 0.004 0.003 0.004 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.006 0.008
Benzinafgift Spp_cg 0.007 0.005 0.004 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.006 0.006 0.008 0.009
Subsidier Sppu 0.009 0.007 0.006 0.007 0.006 0.006 0.007 0.007 0.009 0.012
Ejendomsskat Spzej 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.002 0.004 0.004 0.005 0.010
Subsidier, ikke-varefordelt Spzuqr 0.010 0.007 0.004 0.004 0.003 0.004 0.007 0.008 0.002 0.002
Registreringsafgift Spr 0.009 0.007 0.006 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.008 0.013